\begin{table}
\centering
\begin{talltblr}[         %% tabularray outer open
caption={The impact of direct election on informal elite capture, by transition},
note{}={+ p \num{< 0.1}, * p \num{< 0.05}, ** p \num{< 0.01}, *** p \num{< 0.001}},
note{ }={Each model is a linear regression of each informal capture outcome on direct election (Except the administrative record outcomes). The left column does so for the first transition, and the right column for the second transition. All regressions use robust standard errors. Outcomes from the citizen survey use cluster robust standard errors at the council level.},
]                     %% tabularray outer close
{                     %% tabularray inner open
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\toprule
& Impact of direct: first transition (no controls) & Impact of direct: first transition (controls) & Impact of direct: second transition (no controls) & Impact of direct: second transition (controls) \\ \midrule %% TinyTableHeader
Citizen reports former president/other villager leads village events &&&& \\
(Intercept) & 0.204*** & 0.181*** & 0.206*** & 0.211*** \\
& (0.013) & (0.041) & (0.014) & (0.040) \\
Direct election & -0.056*** & -0.057** & -0.058** & -0.060*** \\
& (0.016) & (0.020) & (0.018) & (0.018) \\
Num.Obs. & 2296 & 2252 & 2603 & 2577 \\
R2 & 0.005 & 0.016 & 0.006 & 0.017 \\
Citizen nominated former president/other villager as village representative to bureaucrat &&&& \\
(Intercept) & 0.192*** & 0.148* & 0.149*** & 0.104* \\
& (0.015) & (0.053) & (0.012) & (0.047) \\
Direct election & -0.076*** & -0.078*** & -0.034* & -0.028+ \\
& (0.018) & (0.019) & (0.015) & (0.016) \\
Num.Obs. & 2350 & 2303 & 2648 & 2621 \\
R2 & 0.011 & 0.020 & 0.002 & 0.009 \\
President reports rich landowner influences council &&&& \\
(Intercept) & 0.168*** & -0.035 & 0.105*** & 0.006 \\
& (0.031) & (0.060) & (0.021) & (0.072) \\
Direct election & -0.120*** & -0.125*** & -0.057* & -0.048+ \\
& (0.034) & (0.034) & (0.025) & (0.026) \\
Num.Obs. & 378 & 371 & 439 & 434 \\
R2 & 0.040 & 0.079 & 0.012 & 0.055 \\
Citizen reports resignation &&&& \\
(Intercept) & 0.390*** & 0.313*** & 0.069*** & 0.130* \\
& (0.033) & (0.075) & (0.012) & (0.060) \\
Direct election & -0.360*** & -0.345*** & -0.039** & -0.040** \\
& (0.034) & (0.033) & (0.015) & (0.015) \\
Num.Obs. & 2352 & 2309 & 2625 & 2598 \\
R2 & 0.216 & 0.268 & 0.008 & 0.027 \\
President reports resignation &&&& \\
(Intercept) & 0.418*** & 0.387*** & 0.095*** & 0.049 \\
& (0.039) & (0.108) & (0.020) & (0.033) \\
Direct election & -0.392*** & -0.379*** & -0.069** & -0.069** \\
& (0.041) & (0.040) & (0.023) & (0.024) \\
Num.Obs. & 390 & 382 & 443 & 438 \\
R2 & 0.246 & 0.296 & 0.021 & 0.053 \\
President elected unopposed &&&& \\
(Intercept) & 0.434*** & 0.575*** & 0.390*** & 0.624*** \\
& (0.039) & (0.134) & (0.034) & (0.140) \\
Direct election & -0.306*** & -0.303*** & -0.262*** & -0.243*** \\
& (0.045) & (0.047) & (0.040) & (0.040) \\
Num.Obs. & 393 & 385 & 444 & 439 \\
R2 & 0.120 & 0.144 & 0.091 & 0.144 \\
\bottomrule
\end{talltblr}
\end{table}
